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                【9月26日】 【CEMA研讨会2019秋季第三讲看4张牌的抢庄牛牛游戏棋牌】 Global Uncertainty, Macroeconomic Activity and Commodity Price

                发布日期:2019-09-19  点击数:

                论文题目:Global Uncertainty, Macroeconomic Activity and Commodity Price

                报告人:施训鹏(悉尼科技大学大学澳中关系研究院长聘无敌牛控制抢庄牛牛作弊首席研究员)

                论文摘要:We construct a homogeneous proxy of global macroeconomic uncertainty by employing a rich global dataset covering both advanced and major emerging economies. Our proxy displays significant independent variations from popular regional or country-specific uncertainty measures, and can serve as an alternative to the global economic policy uncertainty index when one needs to identify uncertainty shocks at the aggregate global level. We examine dynamic impacts among global macroeconomic uncertainty and other global macroeconomic variables, and provide two meaningful applications of our proxy by linking it to the price formation mechanism of oil and by disentangling the global common and country-specific components involved in uncertainty shocks. We show that the well-documented relationship between uncertainty and real activities is not only a regional issue, but also a global phenomenon. Global uncertainty, which works as aggregate demand shocks, plays a key role in determining commodity prices. In addition, to complement the conventional within-country analysis of uncertainty impact, we show that the global common components in uncertainty shocks account for a substantial fraction of business cycle fluctuations in a certain economy. Our findings are robust according to a variety of robustness analysis.

                时间:9月26日(周四)中午12:10-13:30

                地点:学院南路校区学术会堂712

                报告人简介:施训鹏,悉尼科技大学大学澳中关系研究院长聘抢庄牛牛可提现首席研究员、澳大利『亚国立大学经济学博士。新加坡国立大学能源研究所资深研究员;湖北经济学院“楚天学者”讲座教授;“澳大利亚中国经济研究学会”(CESA)理事、前会长(2016-8);世界能源理事会▲全球天然气中心高级顾问;APEC可持续能源中心看四张牌五人抢庄牛牛国内专家委员会委员。“国家优秀自费留学生奖学金”和英国外交部“志奋领”奖抢庄牛牛是不是机器人学金获得者。任现职前,先后在中【国、印尼、文莱和新加坡等◤国家的产、学、研机构和国际抢庄牛牛怎么玩赢钱几率大组织等担任管理或者高级研究■职位。研究区域→包括澳大利亚、东盟和东亚↑。研究专长包括抢庄牛牛作弊工具下载能源和环境等领域的经济、政策问题。现担任Chinese Journal of Population, Resources and Environment、Journal of Modelling in Management和Natural Gas Industry B等期刊编委或副主编,以及30余家SCI、SSCI国际期刊的评审人。最近五年,主持国家自然科学基金海外及港澳学者⊙合作研究基金、新加坡贸工部、亚洲█开发银行、联合国◣亚太经合组织、东亚和东盟经济研究院、国际天然气进口国组玩抢庄牛牛输了10几万织(GIIGNL)等机构委托的研究十余项,发表SSCI、SCI检索论文60余篇。其中三№篇入选ESI高被引论文。

                主办:中国经济与管理研究院

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